UFC Baku Predictions: Expert Picks for All 12 Fights

Fiziev’s lead leg eats Torres’s base across 25 minutes and the home judges close the door. Torres’s right hand is real — that’s the only reason the confidence isn’t higher. The volume edge, the cleaner output and the Baku crowd push the cards.

Magomedov is the more controlled striker over three rounds. Pereira’s circus offense is fun until it runs out of fuel — and at 32 it tends to run out by round two. Expect a low-output, technical victory that does not make highlight reels but does cash the moneyline.

Pure wrestling lock. Aliskerov drags Ferreira to the floor inside two minutes, lands ground-and-pound, and forces the stoppage in the second when Ferreira’s defense leaks. The biggest spread on the board for a reason.

Almabaev’s wrestling and top control are a stylistic nightmare for Johnson, who wants to play volume kickboxing in space. He won’t get the space. Tape it up.

Undefeated, accurate, and a clean half-foot of reach on a fighter with cardio questions. Yakhyaev picks Walker apart on the outside, hurts him in the second, finishes against the cage.

It’s 2026 and Vettori still walks people down for 15 minutes. Naurdiev is technical but light on output; the Italian wins the cage time and the body work even if he doesn’t look pretty doing it.

Both can be cracked early. Oleksiejczuk is the bigger puncher with the southpaw cross that gives Abus problems. Live dog if you flip it, but the Pole gets there first.

Ruziboev’s 36-win résumé is built on chokes from everywhere. Pulyaev has been finished by submission before. Easy read.

Coin-flip bantamweight scramble. Slight nod to Matsumoto’s rhythm boxing and grappling chain attacks — but it’s a 51-49 lean. Avoid on the moneyline, look at the over.

Both are mid-tier welterweights with reliable cardio. Donchenko is a touch sharper and lands cleaner in pocket exchanges. Not a fight to bet — a fight to watch with a beer.

Sleeper of the night. Sadykhov is the underrated Azerbaijani striker on this card and Camilo is exactly the kind of opponent — comes forward, eats counters — that he stops. Home-crowd boost, full sails.

Undefeated debutant in front of his own city. Nolan is durable enough to see the cards but is the smaller, slower fighter. Hasanov’s welcome to the UFC is a clean unanimous.